在forward yieldcontracts 里,yield和income的区别

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2014年最新版CFA一级考试官方教材笔记Schweser CFA Level I Study Note Book 5 Fixed .
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内容提示:2014年最新版CFA一级考试官方教材笔记Schweser CFA Level I Study Note Book 5 Fixed Income, Derivatives, and Alternati
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2014年最新版CFA一级考试官方教材笔记Schweser CFA Le
官方公共微信Treasury Yield Curve
There are many types of fixed-income securities and markets. The
largest fixed income market results from the U.S. Treasury, borrowing cash from the
general investing public. The prices of these fixed-income
securities result from trading, and which
generates the
yield curve by plotting the implied yield to
maturity from the prices of Treasury instruments against the
time to maturity.& This
yield curve has a direct influence over all economic activity in
In the charts below the current
behavior for the Treasury yield curve is provided for a choice
of common compounding conventions.& To apply the yield
curve requires answering a few basic questions.&&
These questions are described below the following chart.& An
expalnation of the concepts required to answer these questions is provided in the Textbook link
to the left.
Important:& The charts below
require using a 32-bit browser.
Working with the Yield Curve
You first need to answer a few basic questions:
1.& What is my problem's time horizon?& In other words
which rate is relevant -- 3-months, 5-years or 30-years?
This often depends upon the investment horizon you are working with.&
For example, suppose you are applying the Capital Asset Pricing
Model (CAPM) to estimate the expected return from a stock.&
This requires working with the yield curve and many users choose a
rate between 10-years and 30-years to estimate expected returns when
using CAPM.
2.& What is my compounding convention?& This could be
continuous compounding if you are working with options or it may be
discrete.& If discrete how many times am I compounding per
3.& Is it important to assess a pure discount rate?& The
pure disocunt rate is implied from a Treasury zero coupon bond
(i.e., Treasury strips and treasury bills).& The pure discount
rate or "Zero" curve is important when working with any valuation
4.& What is the current yield curve telling me about future
interest rates?& By backing out the "forward curve" this
provides important information about what investors expectations
about future rates are.
The above set of charts provide all of the above.& That is, you
can see the current Treasury Yield curve depicted in continuous
through to annual compounding forms.& You can also see plotted
the spot rates, the zero curve rates and the forward rates.&
That latter lets you take a look into the future using current
market data.& To read more about the above types of questions
and concepts you are encouraged to click on Bond Tutor: The Textbook
to the left on this screen.What Drives the Yield Curve?
From the above charts you can see that the yield curve shifts over
time.& These shifts are inresponse to changes in expectations about
the major fundamental drivers of the yield curve.& That is,
Inflation Expectations
Consumption/Growth Behavior Changes
Federal Reserve Bank Expectations
Inflation Expectations
If consumer prices are expected to increase strongly then the
suppliers of capital must be rewarded more for postponing their
consumption decisions.& That is, the opportunity cost of
consumption must increase and so inflation expectations will have a
direct first order impact upon interest rates.& To explore this
further see the tab above labelled &Inflation.&
Consumption/Growth Expectations
If growth declines and the economy moves into a recession -- how
would this influence your decision to consume today?& The answer is
likely to be negatively.& Job prospects, bonuses, pay rises are
likely to disappear and so major consumption decisions become postponed.&
This implies that the suppliers of capital no longer need to be rewarded
as much for postponing consumption and thus interest rates will decline.
Federal Reserve Bank Expectations
In the United States, the Federal Reserve has a dual mandate:&
To promote stable inflation and to promote maximum employment. In
addition, the Federal Reserve is legally permitted to manipulate the US
Treasury markets.& As a result, the Federal Reserve Bank
manipulates the US Treasury yield curve -- particularly at the short end
in an attempt to implement it's dual manadate.
When the Federal Reserve Bank is trying to promote consumption and growth it
lowers interest rates by agressively buying and pushing prices up.&
Given the inverse relationship between prices and the yield to maturity
this implies that interest rates fall.&
If it is trying to dampen consumption/growth the Federal Reserve Bank does the opposite and
starts to aggresively sell Treasury instruments to push prices down.&
This results in shifting interest rates up.期权期货和衍生证券_百度百科
期权期货和衍生证券
《期权期货和衍生证券》是1998年华夏出版社出版的图书,作者是John C. HULL。
本书适用于商学和经济学研究生和高年级本科生选修课。对那些想获得如何分析衍生证券实际知识的实际工作者来说,本书也适合。 ……
Brief Contents  1 INTRODUCTlON  2 FUTURES MARKETS AND THE USE OF FUTURES  FOR HEDGlNG  3 FORWARD AND FUTURES PRlCES  4 INTEREST RATE FUTURES  5 SWAPS  6 OPTlONS MARKETS  7 PROPERTlES OF STOCK OPTlON PRlCES  8 TRADlNG STRATEGlES INVOLVlNG OPTlONS  9 INTRODUCTlON TO BlNOMlAL TREES  10 MODEL OF THE BEHAVlOR OF STOCK PRlCES  11 THE BLACK-SCHOLES ANALYSlS  12 OPTlONS ON STOCK INDlCES, CURRENClES  AND FUTURES CONTRACTS  13 GENERAL APPROACH TO PRlClNG DERlVATlVES  14 THE MANAGEMENT OF MARKET RlSK  15 NUMERlCAL PROCEDURES  16 INTEREST RATE DERlVATlVES AND THE USE  OF BLACK'S MODEL  17 INTEREST RATE DERlVATlVES AND MODELS  OF THE YlELD CURVE  18 EXOTlC OPTlONS  19 ALTERNATlVES TO BLACK-SCHOLES  FOR OPTlON PRlClNG  20 CREDlT RlSK AND REGULATORY CAPYTA  21 REVlEW OF KEY CONCEPTS  Contents  PREFACE  1 INTRODUCTlON  1.1 Forward Contracts  1.2 Futures Contracts  1.3 Options  1.4 Other Derivatives  1.5 Types of Traders  1.6 Summary  Questions and Problems  2 FUTURES MARKETS AND THE USE OF FUTURES  FOR HEDGlNG  2.1 Trading Futures Contracts  2.2 Specification of the Futures Contract  2.3 Operation of Margins  2.4 Newspaper Quotes  2.5 Convergence of Futures Price to Spot Price  2.6 Settlement  2.7 Regulation  2.8 Hedging Using Futures  2.9 Optimal Hedge Ratio  2.10 Rolling the Hedge Forward  2. 11 Accounting and Tax  2.12 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  3 FORWARD AND FUTURES PRlCES  3.1 Some Preliminaries  3.2 Forward Contracts on a Security That Provides  No Income  3.3 Forward Contracts on a Security That Provides  a Known Cash Income  3.4 Forward Contracts on a Security That Provides  a Known Dividend Yield  3.5 General Result  3.6 Forward Prices versus Futures Prices  3.7 Stock Index Futures  3.8 Forward and Futures Contracts on Currencies  3.9 Futures on Commodities  3.10 The Cost of Carry  3.11 Delivery Choices  3.12 Futures Prices and the Expected Future Spot Price  3.13 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  Appendix 3A Proof That Forward and Futures Prices Are  Equal When Interest Rates Are Constant  4 INTEREST RATE FUTURES  4.I Some Preliminaries  4.2 Forward Rate Agreements  4.3 Treasury Bond and Treasury Note Futures  4.4 Treasury Bill Futures  4.5 Eurodollar Futures  4.6 Duration  4.7 Duration-Based Hedging Strategies  4.8 Limitations of Duration  4.9 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  5 SWAPS  5.1 Mechanics of Interest Rate Swaps  5.2 The Comparative Advantage Argument  5.3 Valuation of Interest Rate Swaps  5.4 Currency Swaps  5.5 Valuation of Currency Swaps  5.6 Other Swaps  5.7 Credit Risk  5.8 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  6 OPTlONS MARKETS  6. l Exchange-Traded Options  6.2 Over-the-Counter Options  6.3 Specification of Stock Options  6.4 Newspaper Quotes  6.5 Trading  6.6 Commissions  6.7 Margins  6.8 The Options Clearing Corporation  6.9 Regulation  6.10 Taxation  6.11 Warrants and Convertibles  6.12 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  7 PROPERTlES OF STOCK OPTlON PRlCES  7.1 Factors Affecting Option Prices  7.2 Assumptions and Notation  7.3 Upper and Lower Bounds for Option Prices  7.4 Early Exercise: Calls on a Non-Dividend-Paying Stock  7.5 Early Exercise: Puts on a Non-Dividend-Paying Stock  7.6 Put-Call Parity  7.7 Effect of Dividends  7.8 Empirical Research  7.9 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  8 TRADlNG STRATEGlES INVOLVlNG OPTlONS  8.1 Strategies Involving a Single Option and a Stock  8.2 Spreads  8.3 Combinations  8.4 Other Payoffs  8.5 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  9 INTRODUCTlON TO BlNOMlAL TREES  9.1 One-Step Binomial Model  9.2 Risk-Neutral Valuation  9.3 Two-Step Binomial Trees  9.4 Put Example  9.5 American Options  9.6 Delta  9.7 Using Binomial Trees in Practice  9.8 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Quesdons and Problems  10 MODEL OF THE BEHAVlOR OF STOCK PRlCES  10.1 The Markov Property  10.2 Wiener Processes  10.3 The Process for Stock Prices  10.4 Review of the Model  10.5 The Parameters  10.6 Ito's Lemma  10.7 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  Appendix 10A Derivation of Ito's Lemma  11 THE BLACK-SCHOLES ANALYSlS  11.1 Lognonnal Property of Stock Prices  11.2 The Distribudon of the Rate of Return  11.3 Estimating Volatility from Historical Data  11.4 Concepts Underiying the Black-Scholes Differential  Equation  11.5 Derivation of the Black-Scholes Differential Equation  11.6 Risk-Neutral Valuation  11.7 Black-Scholes Pricing Formulas  11.8 Cumulative Normal Distribution Function  11.9 Warrants Issued by a Company on Its Own Stock  11.10 Implied Voladlities  11.11 The Causes of Volatility  11.12 Dividends  11.13 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  Appendix 11A Exact Procedure for Calculating Values  of American Calls on Dividend-Paying  Stocks  Appendix llB Calculation ofCumulative Probability  in Bivariate Normal Distribution  12 OPTlONS ON STOCK INDlCES, CURRENClES  AND FUTURES CONTRACTS  12.1 Extending Black-Scholes  12.2 Pricing Fonnulas  12.3 Options on Stock Indices  12.4 Currency Options  12.5 Futures Opdons  12.6 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  Appendix 12A Derivation of Differential Equation Satisfied  by a Derivative Dependent on a Stock Paying  a Continuous Dividend Yield 284  Appendix 12B Derivation of Differential Equation Satisfied  by a Derivative Dependent on a Futures  Price  13 GENERAL APPROACH TO PRlClNG DERlVATlVES  13.1 Single Underlying Variable  13.2 Interest Rate Risk  13.3 Securities Dependent on Several State Variables  13.4 Is It Necessary to Estimate the Market Price  of Risk?  13.5 Derivatives Dependent on Commodity Prices  13.6 Quantos  13.7 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  Appendix 13A Generalization of Ito's Lemma  Appendix 13B Derivation of the General Differential Equation  Satisfied by Derivatives  14 THE MANAGEMENT OF MARKET RlSK  14.1 Example  14.2 Naked and Covered Positions  14.3 A Stop-Loss Strategy  14.4 More Sophisticated Hedging Schemes  14.5 Delta Hedging  14.6 Theta  14.7 Gamma  14.8 Relationship among Delta, Theta and Gamma  14.9 Vega  14.10 Rho  14.11 Scenario Analysis  14.12 Portfolio Insurance  14.13 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  Appendix 14A Taylor Series Expansions  and Hedge Parameters  15 NUMERlCAL PROCEDURES  15.1 Binomial Trees  15.2 Using the Binomial Tree for Options on Indices  Currencies and Futures Contracts  15.3 Binomial Model for a Dividend-Paying Stock  15.4 Extensions of the Basic Tree Approach  15.5 Altemative Procedures for Construcdng Trees  15.6 Monte Carlo Simulation  15.7 Variance Reduction Procedures  15.8 Finite Difference Methods  15.9 Analytic Approximations in Option Pricing  15.10 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  Appendix 15A Analytic Approximation to American Option  Prices of Macmillan and Barone-Adesi  and Whaley  16 DSTTEREST RATE DERlVATlVES AND THE USE  OF BLACK'S MODEL  16.1 Exchange-Traded interest Rate Options  16.2 Embedded Bond Options  16.3 Mortgage-Backed Securities  16.4 Option-Adjusted Spread  16.5 Black's Model  16.6 European Bond Options  16.7 Interest Rate Caps  16.8 European Swap Options  16.9 Accrual Swaps  16.10 Spread Options  16.11 Convexity Adjustments  16.11 Summary 411  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  Appendix 16A Proof of the Convexity Adjustment Formula  17 INTEREST RATE DERlVATlVES AND MODELS  OF THE YlELD CURVE  17.1 Introduction to Equilibrium Models  17.2 One-Factor Models  17.3 The Rendleman and Bartter Model  17.4 The Vasicek Model  17.5 The Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Model  17.6 Two-Factor Models  17.7 Introduction to No-Arbitrage Models  17.8 Modeling Forward Rates  17.9 Developing Markov Models  17.10 Ho and Lee Model  17.11 Hull and White Model  17.12 Interest Rate Trees  17.13 A General Tree-Building Procedure  17.14 Nonstationary Models  17.15 Forward Rates and Futures Rates  17.16 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  18 EXOTlC OPTlONS  18.1 Types of Exotic Options  18.2 Basic Numerical Procedures  18.3 Path-Dependent Derivatives  18.4 Lookback Options  18.5 Barrier Options  18.6 Options on Two Correlated Assets  18.7 Hedging issues  18.8 Static Options Replication  18.9 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  19 ALTERNATlVES TO BLACK-SCHOLES  FOR OPTlON PRlClNG  19.1 Known Changes in the Interest Rate  and Volatility  19.2 Merton's Stochastic interest Rate Model  19.3 Pricing Biases  19.4 Altemative Models  19.5 Overview of Pricing Biases  19.6 Stochastic Volatility  19.7 How Black-Scholes Is Used in Practice  19.8 Implied Trees  19.9 Empirical Research  19.10 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  Appendix 19A Pricing Formulas for Altemative Models  20 CREDlT RlSK AND REGULATORY CAPlTAL  20.1 Background  20.2 Adjusting the Prices of Options for Credil Risk  20.3 Contracts That Can Be Assets or Liabilities  20.4 Historical Default Experience  20.5 Valuation of Convertible Bonds  20.6 The BlS Capital Requirements  20.7 Reducing Exposure to Credit Risk  20.8 Summary  Suggestions for Further Reading  Questions and Problems  21 REVIEW OF KEY CONCEPTS  21.1 Riskless Hedges  21.2 Traded Securities versus Other Underlying Variables  21.3 Risk-Neutral Valuation  21.4 Those Big Losses  21.5 A Final Word  MAJOR EXCHANGES  GLOSSARY OF NOTATlON  TABLE FOR N(x) WHEN x 0  TABLE FOR N(x) WHEN x 0  AUTHOR INDEX  SUBJECT INDEX
.豆瓣读书[引用日期 13:47:19]Lecture 6 Determining Forward and Futures Prices
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